November 8th After the Bell Trade Set Ups

The CHINA 2 verses 10 year curves are beginning to invert, pointing to a sustained and protracted economic recession in CHINA.

Looking at the CHINA Direxion 3xs bear etf: symbol YANG. We show the move to be in a confirmed uptrend as noted by CCI(30). Even though today was down, the CCI(5) moved back above the 100 line from an oversold position. Also note the Bullish (Doji) Star Pattern from today which indicates the downward energy is dissipating, The megaphone upward move suggest a recovery to challenge the 1st wave highs.

The price of oil has made and impressive 30% ramp off the bottom in the month of October. The oil short etf SCO on the weekly chart has now moved under 2 on the daily RSI(2) trade indicator. Historically, we can expect this trade to reverse sharply and outperform over the next week or more. Stocks move in 5s and 0s time frames; expect SCO to hold $40 and move higher. A severe drop in oil will also most likely indicate a top in the broader DOW and S&P indexes for some time to come.

Gold miners etf NUGT is showing multiple signs of exhaustion. Notice today we have a bearish Harami: The Bearish Harami Pattern is a sign of a disparity. “Harami” is an old Japanese word for “pregnant”. The long white candlestick is “the mother” and the small candlestick is “the baby”. This shows the bulls’ upward drive has weakened and now a trend reversal is possible. False breakouts are common patterns; notice the false break in July. CCI (30) indicates an extreme deviation from the standard moving pattern. Short below the upper black line, expect the miners to fall back into the defined trend range.



November 7th After The Bell Stock Trend Set Ups

Gold continues it's melt higher:

Gold is still in an uptrend noted in the CCI(30). RSI<2> and CCI(5) indicates an overbought condition. Candles have not given a loss of mojo signal-but note the August drop. GOLD tends to not provide a signal. Extension above upper Boilinger suggest setting a tight stop or harvesting profits.

GOLD short is in confirmed downtrend (noted CCI<30>). The divergence noted in RSI(2) verses todays closing price, indicates a potential snap back trade. Take down half position now, 2nd half after lost mojo signal in candles. Because this is downtrend-this is snap-pop trade only. Thus expect the trade to be exitied within 1-7 trading days with tight stop.

Financial Sector closed with a 5/15 bear cross-and Bearish Harami Pattern. Close outside upper bollinger, suggest potential move to lower end of the range. Since CCI(30) still is uptrending; the trade is a short below $13, expecting to cover within 1-4 trading days; tight stop above $13.10.

OIL closed outside BB today. CCI(5) showing a negative divergence. RSI(2) at 95, historically suggest underperformance in the week or weeks to follow. Because in confirmed uptrend, with no loss of mojo in candles apparent, take 1/2 half short position now, with cover stop above $26.

These are the best high probability/low risk sets ups for November 7th. Set-ups can take 1 week to play out.

Tim Kathlina